Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.383396 0.445993 0.515158 0.597190 0.691777 0.797368 0.924140
2025-03-30 0.270913 0.352196 0.451878 0.582851 0.750157 0.956465 1.229955
2025-04-06 0.207944 0.292877 0.405126 0.563798 0.781756 1.070047 1.479711
2025-04-13 0.166576 0.250620 0.368733 0.545983 0.804294 1.165930 1.709461
2025-04-20 0.142919 0.227655 0.353219 0.551590 0.855689 1.302553 2.006965
2025-04-27 0.130287 0.218303 0.354988 0.580940 0.943077 1.498281 2.410680
2025-05-04 0.117456 0.206215 0.350133 0.598159 1.012201 1.672042 2.798302
2025-05-11 0.104727 0.192104 0.339621 0.603931 1.062210 1.819283 3.157705
2025-05-18 0.092676 0.177200 0.325454 0.601006 1.096121 1.942090 3.487655
2025-05-25 0.081732 0.162587 0.309658 0.592707 1.118781 2.046764 3.795604
2025-06-01 0.072920 0.150628 0.296944 0.588001 1.146532 2.161852 4.132030
2025-06-08 0.063612 0.136335 0.277960 0.568900 1.144825 2.222747 4.374417
2025-06-15 0.061660 0.136806 0.287852 0.607634 1.259290 2.512552 5.080935
2025-06-22 0.054184 0.124705 0.271271 0.591586 1.264561 2.596288 5.401822
2025-06-29 0.047432 0.113137 0.254210 0.572193 1.260345 2.660234 5.689039
2025-07-06 0.041699 0.102979 0.238766 0.554119 1.256377 2.723490 5.980220
2025-07-13 0.038500 0.098208 0.234458 0.559806 1.303800 2.896889 6.518145
2025-07-20 0.037307 0.098065 0.240534 0.589579 1.407532 3.199178 7.361549
2025-07-27 0.035356 0.095762 0.241289 0.607045 1.485214 3.452458 8.122407
2025-08-03 0.032869 0.091725 0.237390 0.612899 1.536466 3.651972 8.782173
2025-08-10 0.030141 0.086642 0.230267 0.609932 1.566211 3.805269 9.350435
2025-08-17 0.027412 0.081150 0.221412 0.601514 1.581651 3.926768 9.856018
2025-08-24 0.025136 0.076572 0.214326 0.596741 1.605543 4.070301 10.427871